Niagara
W-L: ( 8- 9) PR = 78.3501Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 A South Florida AAC (12- 5, 88.7) 5-20 214 H Colgate Patriot ( 5-10, 81.3) 10-16 221 A Le Moyne Northeast (14- 4, 77.0) 8- 7 225 A Albany America Eas (12- 6, 84.2) 9-14 228 H St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 (11- 8, 82.4) 6-14 305 A Arizona State Big 12 ( 8-10, 86.9) 7-17 308 A Southern California Big Ten ( 8- 9, 86.5) 10-19 314 H Marquette Big East ( 9- 7, 86.0) 5- 6 321 A Quinnipiac Metro Atlan (10- 8, 80.6) 14-13 325 H Iona Metro Atlan ( 3-13, 72.8) 11-10 328 H Siena Metro Atlan (12- 7, 81.9) 10- 4 401 A Canisius Metro Atlan (12- 5, 81.1) 12-11 404 A Rider Metro Atlan ( 1-16, 72.3) 15-12 408 H Merrimack Metro Atlan ( 6-11, 74.3) 17- 7 411 A Marist Metro Atlan ( 4-12, 77.5) 10- 9 418 H Mount St Marys Metro Atlan (10- 7, 81.6) 4-13 501 N Siena Metro Atlan (12- 7, 81.9) 8-18
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 A South Florida 5-20 -15 -12 - -2.28
214 H Colgate 10-16 -6 -2 -- -4.37
221 A Le Moyne 8- 7 1 0 1.06
225 A Albany 9-14 -5 -7 + 2.23
228 H St Bonaventure 6-14 -8 -3 -- -5.32
305 A Arizona State 7-17 -10 -10 -0.03
308 A Southern California 10-19 -9 -10 0.55
314 H Marquette 5- 6 -1 -6 ++ 5.28
321 A Quinnipiac 14-13 1 -4 ++ 4.58
325 H Iona 11-10 1 7 -- -5.88
328 H Siena 10- 4 6 -2 +++ 8.17
401 A Canisius 12-11 1 -4 ++ 5.17
404 A Rider 15-12 3 5 -1.73
408 H Merrimack 17- 7 10 5 ++ 4.62
411 A Marist 10- 9 1 -1 1.51
418 H Mount St Marys 4-13 -9 -2 --- -7.08
501 N Siena 8-18 -10 -4 --- -6.46
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 H Mount St Marys 4-13 -9 -2 --- -7.08 501 N Siena 8-18 -10 -4 --- -6.46 214 H Colgate 10-16 -6 -2 -- -4.37 228 H St Bonaventure 6-14 -8 -3 -- -5.32 325 H Iona 11-10 1 7 -- -5.88 207 A South Florida 5-20 -15 -12 - -2.28 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 H Siena 10- 4 6 -2 +++ 8.17 314 H Marquette 5- 6 -1 -6 ++ 5.28 321 A Quinnipiac 14-13 1 -4 ++ 4.58 401 A Canisius 12-11 1 -4 ++ 5.17 408 H Merrimack 17- 7 10 5 ++ 4.62 225 A Albany 9-14 -5 -7 + 2.23 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A South Florida (12- 5, 88.7) 5-20 -11.20 28.97 1.37 1.02 -5.01
3 H Colgate ( 5-10, 81.3) 10-16 -18.56 21.61 -1.37 1.02 -10.15
3 A Le Moyne (14- 4, 77.0) 8- 7 -22.86 17.31 1.37 1.02 38.07
3 A Albany (12- 6, 84.2) 9-14 -15.69 24.48 1.37 1.02 -7.29
3 H St Bonaventure (11- 8, 82.4) 6-14 -17.51 22.66 -1.37 1.02 -9.62
3 A Arizona State ( 8-10, 86.9) 7-17 -12.95 27.22 1.37 1.02 -5.90
3 A Southern Calif ( 8- 9, 86.5) 10-19 -13.37 26.80 1.37 1.02 -6.12
3 H Marquette ( 9- 7, 86.0) 5- 6 -13.90 26.27 -1.37 1.02 -7.78
3 A Quinnipiac (10- 8, 80.6) 14-13 -19.34 20.83 1.37 1.02 45.23
3 H Iona ( 3-13, 72.8) 11-10 -27.07 13.10 -1.37 1.02 23.91
3 H Siena (12- 7, 81.9) 10- 4 -18.01 22.16 -1.37 1.02 42.37
3 A Canisius (12- 5, 81.1) 12-11 -18.75 21.42 1.37 1.02 46.43
3 A Rider ( 1-16, 72.3) 15-12 -27.64 12.52 1.37 1.02 28.31
3 H Merrimack ( 6-11, 74.3) 17- 7 -25.56 14.60 -1.37 1.02 26.98
3 A Marist ( 4-12, 77.5) 10- 9 -22.41 17.76 1.37 1.02 38.97
3 H Mount St Marys (10- 7, 81.6) 4-13 -18.26 21.91 -1.37 1.02 -10.00
3 N Siena (12- 7, 81.9) 8-18 -18.01 22.16 -0.00 1.02 -9.18
------
219.24
|
winning pts = 290.2799 losing points = -71.0445
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------